Predictwind and the Iridium GO!

LATEST ADDITIONS TO BRICK HOUSE December 2017 – in preparation for the Indian Ocean, we knew getting weather, not to mention email , on our Sailmail and Winlink – SSB/Pactor modem was NOT going to be good enough for this Ocean. First, waiting for the perfect propagation time wasn’t going to work, and second…we needed to get bigger, better reports than the Pactor connections could handle. We also needed to be sure our family could reach us any time. So we researched high and low, and decided that the Iridium GO marine package from PredictWind.com  was going to be our best bet. I actually (conveniently) forgot to put it up here when we first got it (It’s June now). I wasn’t sure we were gonna like it, and felt a certain guilt for abandoning my SSB/Pactor loyalty of 10 years. I am happy to report it has been flawless. So now it’s up here. We can get our weather reports from PredictWind, that cover a much bigger and much more detailed  area than the Pactor connections could handle in the best of times. We can get our email ten times a day if we want, and at any time. The Iridium GO has been a fantastic addition to Brick House!But the best things about the Iridium GO…the feature that it released in a big big way for Brick House, is PREDICTWIND. This software/service with the best weather and current forecasting models available is far and beyond the best software/service we have ever had on Brick House. Whether it be waiting for the right hour to take off a Genoa off the Profurl furler, or when to depart for the best weather to our next destination, to what route to take to follow the currents to our advantage, to whether we should leave a full main sail up at night, or if it will be settled weather to stay in an open anchorage. PREDICTWIND, and particicularly it’s proprietary models (which I didn’t believe at first) have been spot on for our weather both at sea and in anchorages. We baught it to be able to get the highly valuable ECMWF forecast model at sea…and the rest was just a bonus, But it turns out that Predictwind’s own proprietary models…PWE and PWG are the meat of their product…far better than GFS and ECMWF!  And the selection of Currents models in the Professional Subscription is worth the extra price after all…even if not in an area famous for notorious currents. If you can go an extra knot or two because you know where the current is…well…isn’t that why we all fit fancy props to get an extra knot of speed? It changes more on a daily basis than I ever imagined. Knowledge is power….free power, and if you have PredictWind, you have an extra knot of power in many places! We never knew weather predictions could be so good…we are used to 10 years of looking out the window for the best weather report, and knowing GRIBS have a 50% chance of being right.  With the models that PredictWind offers…it’s more like a 95% chance of being right! PredictWind works in conjunction with the Iridum GO as though they were made specifically for each other, and the two are going to remain a permanent fixture on Brick House. Anyone want to buy our Pactor III modem? It’s the best 8 track tape player you can buy!!!Seriously people. If you don’t have satellite communication yet, buy an Iridum GO…you will not regret it. And if you get the GO, or have another satellite solution, absolutely and positively get a Professional subscription to Predictwind. Also…if you want to get your email on just your device Iridium Go Mail will work fine, but not when you put it all on hold when you are in port…If you want to get your mail through your computer, your device, through the GO and equally as easily when just on a land internet connection, get Xgate since it offers much more flexibility for your email.  PredictWind (and Xgate)CAN be used with SSB, but without satellite you will NOT be able to get the detailed larger reports that PredictWind can so easily deliver through satellite. Get the Unlimited data package through Predictwind and get any report you could ever want or need. Anything else, and you are in the dark ages…you CAN have correct weather forecasts now!!! It’s a changed world!  

Here is a Link where you can find out more about the Iridium GO! order one, order the External antenna kit which I highly recommend, and even get SIM cards.

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One More Last Time

It seemed like forever, at least twice a year, I would captain a sailboat for Offshore Passage Opportunities taking a Swan charter crew between New England and St. Maarten. When Rebecca and I briefly returned to Rhode Island last November, it had been 11 years since I last captained a boat for the NARC Rally heading south. But now I got to make one last trip.  This article appears in the April, 2018 issue of Blue Water Sailing magazine. This is a very long story, 4,500 words. Most sailing magazines have a limit of 3,000 words. But Blue Water Sailing, being privately owned, can be more liberal. 

                                                    One More Last Time    

John, Patrick, Keith, Chris, Dave, Marco

Strong gusts threw short rollers into the marina pinning our N  autor Swan 53 to the dock and drenching everything with spraying blasts of cold, October, Narragansett Bay water. The floating docks of the Yachting Center, in Newport, Rhode Island, morphed into a galloping coordination test to dance across.  This weekend marked the 5 year anniversary of Super Storm Sandy, which ground to pieces the coasts of New Jersey and New York.   Fortunately this weather was no Sandy even though my charter guests came for a strong, open ocean adventure.  If we had already been at sea, the 35 knots of wind would have been manageable but now, we were trapped in the marina until the spiraling storm system could spin away.

For many years, each fall, I had captained a large Swan sailboat for Offshore Passage Opportunities, www.sailopo.com, between Rhode Island and St.Maarten, with a stop in , my favorite harbor in the world, St.Georges, Bermuda.  For the past ten years, my wife and I had sailed off to cruise the world on our Valiant-40, Brick House.  With a decade of passage making behind us, we left our floating home in Malaysia for a brief return to New England. I could not pass up the invitation to skipper, one more last time, the most challenging, variable, fun passage in the world I know of. Aurora, my new home for the next 2 weeks, was full of diesel, fresh water, and  food for a crew of 6.  We were ready to cross an ocean except for the weather delay and one vital piece of equipment, a large sponge.

The charter crews on these trips have always proved to be a successful, intelligent and motivated group who, know how to get along with others.  We are one of three Swan charter boats, with paying charter guests, captained by professionals who long ago stopped counting their number of sea miles.  There were also several privately owned, owner operated, boats that completed the group in which we would all sail together as the North Atlantic Rally to the Caribbean, The NARC.

Off with the 130 and on with the 90 percent jib.

The extra days in port gave the crew time to explore not only historic Newport, but the recesses and intricacies of a boat full of systems and electronics plus the opportunity to size up their crewmates. In anticipation of the worst weather ahead, we took off the owners 130 percent racing sail and bent on a more durable and properly sized 90 percent jib.  Also on deck, the dorades needed attention. When waves roll over a boat, simply turning a dorade to face away from the wind and waves is not enough to keep water from washing below. Besides, the crisp chill of fall made it uncomfortably cold inside Aurora. To keep wind, cold, and water out, all the dorades were covered with plastic bags and secured in place with light line.

Rebecca giving her PredictWind weather forecast to the crew of Aurora.

Crew member Dave, stowed his gear in the aft cabin opposite my bunk. His short body builder frame complimented his energy and competence. If a conversation amongst the crew ever lagged, Dave always inserted an interesting spark.  As a long time commercial airline pilot, Dave slipped easily into the functions of a yacht far larger than his Catalina 27. Dave brought his plastic sextant and sight reduction tables to practice with. Maybe together we could learn what I had long ago forgotten.

The other four crew had their choice of the two stacked bunks forward on the port or the 2 bunks on the starboard bow.  At this point in the trip, it is difficult to determine which would be the most leeward side, thus the most comfortable, for the majority of the passage.

We finally found the sponge we needed at a hardware store, an 8X5X1.5 inch cellulose sponge. By Tuesday morning, 6 November, the wind settled to 15 knots so we backed Aurora out of the marina.  We were on our way. 

My new Henri Lloyd foul weather gear is the first to do what it is advertised to do, plus it has the see through visor.

Layers of shirts and gloves broke the chill blowing across Narragansett Bay.  I loved my new Henri Lloyd foul weather gear. The jacket stopped the wind and the unique Optivision hi-vis hood system allowed full peripheral vision.   John ground fast and hard on the jib sheet winch working up a sweat as we practiced tacking.  Materials transport is how the crew labeled his occupation, but with a chuckle, he more squarely says, “No, I am a truck driver”.  John has read the classics like Slocum which stoked the desire for a sea adventure his 26 foot sailboat won’t allow.  He thought, maybe in the mornings, he could stroll the decks and pick up flying fish to fry for breakfast.

 

 

Marko steered seaward as the rest of us worked the deck. His experience sailing his own 37 foot Island Packet made him quickly capable of maneuvering a highly responsive performance cruiser. At 30 years old, he is the youngest crew yet the most adventurous.  Marko made a big news splash when he and two pals did a base jump off the top of the new World Trade Center which left the police, FBI, and Homeland Security, unamused. He is working as a movie set carpenter to pay off lingering lawyer bills. Marko is gaining ocean experience before sailing his own boat to the Caribbean.

I am impressed with Keith.  When I grab hold of the main halyard and hang with my full weight to hoist the large main sail, it still won’t reach its final height.  Keith can stand there and send the main up as though he is pulling on a string. Keith is the Hollywood image of the square bodied, bear strong, gravel voiced, Marine sergeant, which he was before retirement number one. He now specializes in telecommunications. Keith is trying ocean sailing to determine if he should become a fulltime sea gypsy.

The man I would eventually defer to for sail trim advice is Chris. Since childhood, he has been racing sailboats along the coast and on the Great Lakes. Chris analyzes billion dollar companies to determine if they are worthy acquisitions for far larger companies. Chris is looking for an ocean crossing adventure. 

On all my NARC trips, everyone has come from vastly different neighborhoods across America, yet by journey’s end they become a cohesive group of friends.  This is one of the amazing things about sailing across an ocean.

The relative 200 foot deep waters of Rhode Island Sound extends over 100 miles offshore before the ocean bottom drops away to depths of miles deep. It is a boisterous business crossing the shelf in 20 knots of wind after a strong spiraling storm sets up wave trains colliding from all directions. But the very bumpy ride was a nauseous experience for two of the crew who were soon spewing over the side. They did not follow good advise.  It is always strongly advised to take seasick medicine at least six hours before leaving port.   Those who followed the advise and wore a Scopolamine patch, swallowed Bonine, or Dramamine-non drowsy, fared well. In Bermuda, the very effective product called Stugeron can be bought over the counter, but it is not sold in the U.S..  Crossing an ocean for the first time is not the place to be experimenting with ginger root or wrist bands when your shipmates are relying on you.

We did not talk, we yelled to each other over the ocean and wind noise as the breeze increased to 25 knots.  Maximum sail was set, on a beam reach, which kept us moving at ten knots over the ground and at times peaking at twelve.  The windward running back stay was set. The Swan loved this weather. Everyone had their turn on the large steering wheel in daylight before a watch schedule was set. Holding a compass course in bouncy weather is a learned skill everyone would become fully adept at on this trip.  Steering with the wind on the beam meant the sails had to be trimmed properly so the boat would be balanced and not round up into the wind uncontrollably.

The weather router which gave the fleet briefing before departure predicted calms ahead. My wife Rebecca gave our crew similar weather information using her PredictWind, a new weather prediction application. I had also loaded PredictWind onto my tablet specifically to test on this passage. But with PredictWind, as we headed into the north Atlantic, I could watch the daily wind arrows display for a far better interpretation than a one sheet handout.   The Predict Wind projection went out nine days. If we had on board “Iridium Go!” a satellite link, we could get daily weather updates. The same can be downloaded over the Single Side Band with a Pactor 3 modem.  

Natuor Swans are incredibly strong and seaworthy boats. I have all the confidence in the world in Swans, of any length.  But John’s romance with the sea was being tested. In the famous sea stories he read from his easy chair he says “Those guys don’t tell how violently you get knocked around a cabin and how you have to crawl around the deck on all fours.”  John was already hinting at jumping ship and flying away in Bermuda.

 “Rough weather“ is a perception based on one’s experience. Chris and Dave were looking for far higher wind speeds and waves to have an ocean experience that would increase their offshore skills. According to Dave, “Anyone can sail to Bermuda in this.”

As darkness approached, the watch rotation was set. Watch “A” was comprised of the three most adept crew. The watch consisted of three hour shifts beginning on a whole hour. One and a half hours later, that is half way through a shift,  a crew from the “B” watch would come on deck on a half hour clock reading.  So half way through a crew’s 3 hour watch, a new, fresh face would show up. With this system each man has 3 hours on and  6 off. Additionally, the system has a natural rotation so no one is stuck on the grave yard shift. Everyone gets to see a sunrise and sun set. South of Bermuda, where living far out at sea is easier in the more settled weather, and the crew has gained experience; a different watch system would be used. 

A sail snubber saves a lot of wear on the rigging.

As predicted by the weather router and Predictwind, only 24 hours out of Newport, our wild ride over short waves and favorable beam wind ran out of steam. The wind died yet the residual waves roguishly combined into a sloppy froth of colliding waves. To keep the main sail from continuously slating at the end of its sheet, which can be terribly destructive to the sails, slides, gooseneck, and rigging, we set up a large rubber shock absorber. It  started with a bowline to a bail on the boom near the main sheet. The bitter end was then secured to a winch on the windward side of the boat. A preventer on the leeward rail completed the triangulation necessary to restrict the main. The main sheet was slackened so the initial shock was eased by the rubber absorber. If needed, a shock absorber can also be rigged to the jib sheet.

This 635 nautical mile passage, from Newport to Bermuda, was proving to be one of the most challenging ever. Never before has the wind died to leave a flat sea north of the Gulf Stream or been so consistently light and contrary, blowing right up our nose.

In Newport, the water temperature was 70 degrees. We watched the ocean temperature rise as we neared the Gulf Stream. With the warming water, the air too meant the crew would strip away layers of clothes to become more comfortable.

A mid ocean swim in warm water, miles deep.

 On the first calm, after the waves died away, we dropped the sails, and turned off the engine so we took advantage of the flat, warmer, water for the crew to plunge into an ocean where the bottom is over three miles deep. In that refreshing clear water we discovered how terribly fouled the propeller and prop shaft were.  This fouling would at least double our fuel consumption and leave us dangerously low on fuel for our approach to the reef strewn coast of Bermuda, in very uncertain winds.

As we motor-sailed south, this was a most unusual day as we approached the Stream. There was not the normal long bank of puffy cumulous clouds floating in a perfect line to mark the presence of the Stream. We knew we were in the stream as the water temperature rose to 81 degrees. The wind had picked up to 15 knots yet came blowing out of the southeast, directly where we wanted to go. Blowing somewhat against the east flowing current, there was not the terrible standing waves one often hears about. In fact for us, the wind against current helped us maintain the best course we could steer to Bermuda.

Keith caught the first fish, a nice yellowfin tuna.

Near the northern edge of the Stream is where the yell of “fish on!” was heard. Keith and John fished with a “Cuban Yo-yo” hand line with 100 yards of 300 pound test line. Keith let out only 50 feet of line to troll a colorful plastic Hoola Skirt with a single hook. Keith had a wild, strong, fish to work inch by inch, closer to a sailboat moving south as the fish struggled north. The hook was well set when the fat ten pound tuna was lifted aboard. Flopping and vibrating wildly, the side deck and cockpit soon mirrored a bad Hollywood horror film. Thick red blood flew everywhere including the murderers face and foul weather jacket , till someone brought up the bottle of rubbing alcohol. Doused down its gills, the fish stopped, immediately.

We don’t want to catch fish bigger than that tuna. The small ones are difficult enough to deal with. That most valuable tool, the yellow cellulose sponge, began scrubbing its first chore working buckets of seawater into the grain of the teak deck to displace the slippery red mess and to change Keith’s foul weather gear from red back to yellow.  More situations would put that sponge to great use. 

Sailing into the axis of the Stream, the water temperature climbed to 81 then dropped to 78 as we exited the southern edge, and with that, the ocean became even more tranquil and the air more tropical, the crew peeled down to shorts and shirts which is rare north of Bermuda in the fall. The plastic bags came off the dorades and the vents were turned to face into the wind, hatches and portlights opened. Even John was feeling better about life at sea.

There was a large clockwise rotating eddy along our rumbline which would help propel us to Bermuda, or if approached on the wrong side, would slow us down.  The weather router used a model which placed the eddy to the east while Predict Wind showed it to be to the west of the direct line to Bermuda. We would see whose Gulf Stream predictions were to prove most accurate.    Gulf Stream information is initially gathered by satellites. Various organizations gather the raw data and put it through programs like RTOFF and HYCOM that analyze and work the information into a viewable and predictive format which weather routers and PredictWind use.  Predict Wind will soon be using the ROTOFF program. For real time satellite imagery of the Gulf Stream, Rutgers University “Sea Surface Temperature, Daily Composite of East Coast” and “Northeast”, analyzes satellite information and at times creates a 3 day color composite that a navigator can print out and compare to other Gulf Stream sources.  Possibly because of cloud cover, Rutgers did not have the composite I needed for this passage. And that is part of the fun and planning for this passage, trying to outsmart the Gulf Stream and all its intricacies with whatever information that can be gathered and sifted. As it turned out, sailing the rumbline took us into a one to two knot contrary current indicating the RTOFF, used by the weather router was more accurate.

“As Seen On TV” rescued the fuel we needed to prime the engine and get moving again.

With each passing day, the lack of wind became more of a issue than a potential storm. The throttle to the Volvo Penta engine was set at the most economical 1,800 RPMs, revolutions per minute.  On the 3rd day out of Newport, suddenly, the engine RPMs oscillated and then the engine fell silent. The engine had run for far too few hours on the starboard tank to empty it. The fuel gage sat on ½, not much different than when the tank was filled with fuel in Newport.  Dave and I agreed we should dip the fuel tank to see the reality of the fuel level in that tank. Swans have a specific plug on top of the tanks and an aluminum dipstick for this purpose. There was plenty of the fuel in the tank. The remotely mounted Racor filter was only slightly discolored. We disassembled fuel line connections and found no restrictions from the tank pickup to the Racor entry point.  We had on our hands a mid ocean mystery. Since the engine had run earlier in the day, without problems from the port tank, as an experiment, we swapped the equally new looking port Racor filter element with the starboard element. That got the engine running again. But as the engine RPMs were increased to 2500 RPMs,the engine would again begin to cough. There were no new Racor filters to be found on the boat.  What we eventually realized is that the filters were only 2 micron.  For this engine, such a fine mesh with a moderate amount of contaminants was too restrictive for the fuel flow of this 100 horse power Volvo Penta.  However, by lowering the engine to 1800 RPMs, we were getting by.  Aurora was an untested boat, new to the charter fleet, with a growing “to do” list for the owner.

 When the engine first died, we were in a real jam as we had already emptied the two jerry jugs  of spare fuel into the tanks.  We then needed a small reserve of fuel to top off the filter and bleed air from the fuel lines. “How will we get the fuel back out of the tank?” Dave asked. “People break out of prisons. We will have to think on it.”

 The owner of Aurora had put on board a cheesy looking, flashlight-battery operated, “Liquids Transfer Pump”. On the box it even said “As seen on TV”. The toy turned out to be a valuable tool. Removing five screws from a disk on the tank top just gave us the clearance we needed for “as seen on TV” to do its job. From then on, we would always keep plenty of fuel in reserve for priming the engine. 

 We still had just over 100 miles to reach Bermuda and we were concerned that the quickly diminishing fuel supply would not be enough.  The badly fouled prop was doubling fuel consumption. At all costs, we had to keep a reserve amount of fuel to motor around the extensive reefs surrounding the north and northeast approach into St. Georges. With no other option, we would squeeze the zephyrs and sail the distance even if it were no faster than one to three knots over the ground.   But like a good end to a difficult thriller, the wind did pick up from the east so we could sail at five knots.

With Marko, Chris, Keith John and I on deck, visually picking our way through the white dots and blinking lights, set against a black background, Dave sat at the chart plotter below, making sure we were on a safe course. At 9:00  Saturday night, the 5th day after leaving Newport, we tied to the customs dock, in St. Georges, to find that all the officials stayed open late for us to clear in. They knew we were coming. What other country in the world could be as welcoming as Bermuda? Just around the corner, we tilted libations at the White Horse Tavern to celebrate our safe arrival then slept soundly in a boat that did not budge, tied securely to the quay.  In the morning, the crew had their first good view of the hill sides of St. George’s Harbor, full of colorful concrete building all with white tile roofs, as we motored the short distance to berth at the St. George’s Dinghy and Sports Club where the rally festivities would take place that evening.

The tourists adverts say that Bermuda is “Very Proper”, and it is. One of the nicest places in the world.

Bermuda has the most northerly reefs in the world and it seems more old forts per acre than anywhere else in the world. One full day in Bermuda is not enough to be a respectable tourist, but the four day delay in Newport left us little room to play. We wanted to stay on a schedule to meet our departing airplanes in St. Maarten. Monday morning we topped off the fuel and water at the Shell station and once again headed seaward out the steep and narrow cut of St. Georges. 

We motored right into a flat calm ocean.  This certainly made John happy for he had decided to stick with us and complete the voyage. We were a diverse group like gears made from completely different metals, but all of us meshed and worked together and the absence of any one would have been sorely missed.

Heading out the narrow pass, seaward, from St. Georges. Cruise ships squeeze through the same cut.

This was the time for the hand fishing lines to trail again off the stern. It did not take long to catch 6 dorado. They are a far less bloody mess of a fish to deal with than tuna. We had no need to arrive in St.Maarten with more food than we departed Newport with so the hand lines were retired.

For a full day a ten knot breeze shifted from the bow to a port beam reach. That was the chance everyone was hoping for. We struggled and fed the giant sausage containing the huge spinnaker out of the sail locker onto the foredeck. The sausage was hoisted to the top of the mast on the spinnaker halyard. Then the fiberglass collar was hoisted allowing the sock to free the spinnaker to balloon to a monster of a sail pulling us along at five knots. All day it kept us moving. In late afternoon, the wind shifted again onto a beat. The spinnaker came down.  

All the crew were now competent with the workings and handling of Aurora. Even John had gained his footing and was moving easily with the rhythms of the boat, on deck and below. Each was fully competent to stand a lone watch. If needed, the captain is on call 24 hours a day for the slightest question. My bunk was in the aft cabin so it was always easy to call me by lifting a hatch in the cockpit.  The new watch system became far more conducive to crew rest. Each crew, including the captain, would stand a 1.5 hour watch with 7.5 hours off. 

 The night watch south of Bermuda was quite different from the first leg. The moon had waned and the night, all night, was black. Even when there is a brilliant Milky Way of stars above, it does nothing to define a horizon or illuminate the deck. Barreling across an ocean, through the dark, one relies on Karma and odds, as visibility on the ocean past the bow, is simply a black void. There would be no way to see a floating container, a whale or anything else directly in our path, other than a lighted ship.  But a watch soon gets used to the idea of spooks in the dark and there is no option but to continue on our way. To make the watch even easier, the autopilot now did the manual work so the lone crew only has to stay awake and watch for the lights of distant ships, monitor the RADAR and engine instruments. 

Between motoring and slow sailing, we were chasing a seemingly unreachable horizon. As Chris said, “After the first half of this trip, my greatest emotion is boredom.” The tranquility  gave Dave a perfect opportunity to refine his celestial navigation using “line of positions” of the sun.  He worked hard at teaching himself the process and finally found our position within a three mile accuracy plus a very accurate longitude from the noon sight.  That is exemplary accuracy considering all the inherent deficiencies of a plastic sextant.  

It took a lot of effort for Dave to teach himself celestial navigation. He was spot on with his LOPs, line of positions. Marco knows how to relax.

In the afternoon of our sixth day since leaving Bermuda Marko yelled “Land Ho!”  We would not reach land in daylight instead we would be skirting a shore in the dark. Rather than going a circuitous route, we would shoot the narrow gap between Anguilla and Scrub Island, off the northeast coast of St. Maarten in the black of night.  I have sailed the route many times but the crew had not. Airline pilot Dave was at the chat table below guiding us through, IFR, “instrument flight regulations”. “Dave, don’t let us hit anything.” I love adding a little pressure. I was on the helm watching the radar screen mounted over the binnacle. “Trust your instruments not your instincts” is the old aviator’s adage.  But the rest of the crew were incredulous and tense. They could see what was on the navigational screens but saw nothing but blackness where they knew land should be less than a mile away.  Dave called up a course to jog us over, what amounts to a “base” course and line us up with the pass to be on our port beam before making a sharp turn to port to aim us straight for it on a final approach. With that maneuver, the cockpit radar, which had been showing a solid wall of land features, then spit a dark crack which spread to a black space amongst the yellows and green returns of solid shore lines. Sailing under only a jib at five knots we headed into the void.  To everyone’s relief, especially Dave’s, nothing went bump against the keel. 

Out of the blackness, the twinkle of lights on St. Maarten, miles to our southwest, began to build and define not just shoreline but altitudes of a mountainous island.  The small south east breeze helped blow us around to the west then the southern shore and into Simpson Bay just outside the bridge to the Lagoon. We anchored at 3:30 in the morning and switched on not only the anchor light, but deck lights to well illuminate our anchored ship against the backdrop of city lights.  Then we fell to our bunks, exhausted from a long day and adrenalin crash after the heightened alertness required for coastal sailing at night. But we were all happy to have crossed an ocean, from north to south.

Dave, Chris and Keith are all determined to return next November to sail again in the Offshore Swan Program.   They want to shoot for a more serious high wind sailing experience. As Dave says “I want to learn things I don’t know and can’t learn sailing in pleasant weather along the coast.”  And Chris adds “I want to sail with different professional captains to see how they handle the same situations.”  It won’t be long before Marco sails south on his own boat…..and John, he is staying put in his arm chair. I will be winging  back to Malaysia to prepare my own boat for the crossing of the Indian Ocean, so this really just might be, my final last time, in the NARC rally.

 

 

 

A definite decision : Predictwind

..It is 100% guaranteed that we will be basing all of our communication hardware choices; Single Side Band, Sat Phone, Sat device,  Cell Phone…. on being able to best use Predictwind Offshore.

Many choose their hardware and then see which software applications perform with that device. But we are doing it in reverse order. We are choosing our software and then, and only then, buying the hardware we need to support it.

Our most recent in-depth comparisons of both Predictwind Offshore and every other weather product I could find on my Ipad and Android, has Predictwind Offshore coming out at the top. I spent way too much money and effort trying them all, but I needed to be sure.

There are certainly a lot of very pretty weather applications out there, but only if you have a strong internet connection. Whatever flavor you want, based on your own visual preferences, is on offer. I can not claim that Predictwind Offshore is the absolute prettiest or elegant out there, but for our needs as full time cruisers, on a limited budget, on a modest sailboat, sailing offshore frequently, “Predictwind Offshore” definitely offers the best option once we leave the coast and fast internet.

There are 5 characteristics a weather product needs to have to fulfill our requirements, and only Predictwind Offshore fulfills ALL 5 of these. These are:

1. Accessible from far out at sea…while on passages, away from internet for extended periods. Whether we choose the Iridium GO, the Iridium GLOW, Single Side Band/Pactor, a satellite phone or any other more expensive product, or just wifi/internet when we have it, PREDICTWIND will work, and work well.

2. Offers more than just 1 forecast model. GFS (Global Marine Forecast system) is a good model, and it’s offered by every weather software package out there because it’s free. But we want other good models too, even the ones that are not free. The ECMWF (European Center for Medium range Weather Forecasts) forecast model is the most important one to us, and probably the most respected and expensive for a weather software provider to offer.  Any weather forecasting product we use MUST have ECMWF, or we don’t want it. I think of this model, after experimenting with it for years, as the “worst case scenario” model. It often shows more wind or higher waves than what we actually get. And it’s almost never worse. GFS forecasts often show no indication of these extremes so many people ask why we bother paying for weather..it’s always wrong! Predictwind offers not only the GFS, and ECMWF forecasts, but  2 more models that are proprietary, based on a completely different algorithm that starts with current conditions, and then produces higher resolution, more accurate forecasts. All 4 of the Predictwind Forecast Models that Predictwind offers are a primary draw for us, and worth the price tag. Yes if you use only GFS forecasting products, you will wonder why the weather forecasts seems to be wrong so often! Get Predictwind Offshore with access to the forecast models that the pros use, spend time learning how to use the software and understand the models it provides, and weather will be accurate much more often.

  1. We would like the weather to be accurate, with few exceptions, and for us to see the possibility of it being not on the mark. We can compare the 4 models that Predictwind Offshore provides, and if they all agree, we can be quite sure of the forecast. If they greatly differ, then we had better brace ourselves for unpredictable weather up ahead!
  2.  Affordable. Predictwind Offshore is not the cheapest, but it is not the most expensive by far. Their Standard package at about $20 per month offers everything we need for the big Ocean passages we have ahead of us.  We will upgrade to the pricier Professional package when we need serious information about the Ocean currents, and even better resolution GRIBS, like right before a passage to Bermuda or around South Africa.

5. We can receive the weather forecasts on our laptop, on our Android devices or on our IPad….all while at sea…. Predictwind Offshore is a Multi-device application, giving us flexibility like we have never had before. We can view Predictwind on all of our devices in a beautiful graphic presentation. We can receive forecasts via Our SSB (how to)  radio/Pactor modem/laptop.

Predictwind Offshore! offers so many other features that are remarkable time savers, like Weather Routing, and Departure Planning. Describing them would require a whole separate blog.  This wealth of feature, along with fulfilling our 5 basic requirements are why we INSIST ON using Predictwind Offshore and building our hardware around it.

We have ruled out using a satellite phone. Airtime is way too expensive. Creating the necessary permanent installation of it is also too expensive.

We no longer wish to wrestle with our SSB/Pactor setup because when we need weather reports, we need them now, and we need to be certain we can get them, and not leave it up the Propogation gods. SSB/Pactor will still be maintained, but demoted to being our backup system.

The Communication Hardware we have decided on in the last few hours, but after much deliberation is the  Iridium GO!…a kind of satellite wifi hotspot. It is currently the only hardware offered for sale right on the Predictwind web site, signifying that it is the most obvious, well integrated choice to use with their software. Predictwind provides complete support for both their software and the GO! so there will be no fingerpointing at the other guy when something doesn’t work. The Iridium GO! offers so much more too. SV Totem has written one of the best blogs about its features at Sailing Totem.

The “Unlimited Data Plan” on the Iridium GO! is far less expensive than other satellite plans, but is still a bit pricey for us. It seems though to be the best way to go if you want no lack of information. There is so much to worry about on a passage…why worry about how much time you have left on your satellite phone to get your weather (and email, among other things)?  We will most definitely exercise the right of stopping and starting service as needed that Predictwind’s NO CONTRACT Iridium GO! data plans offer!

Concluding all my research, our Iridium GO! order will be in the mail tomorrow!

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